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Trade ideas are the daily output of an agent loop running over every active market. They appear in sf ideas, the /ideas page, and the get_trade_ideas MCP tool.

Pipeline

The idea pipeline runs an LLM-backed market analysis loop that:
1

Pull world snapshot

Latest world state including regimes, indicators, and salient items.
2

Filter unsuitable

Skip sports, esports, low liquidity, settled markets.
3

Generate structured ideas

One idea per surviving market, with thesis summary and edge direction.
4

Compute quantSignals

IY, CRI, regime tags, theme tag.
5

Persist with provenance

Model name, prompt version, generated-at timestamp.

Idea schema

Filters

  • Unsuitable categories — sports, esports, weather, gimmicks (configurable).
  • Settled markets — price ≤ 2¢ or ≥ 98¢, or |edge| ≥ 90¢.
  • Stale marketstauDays ≤ 0.

Surfaces

  • CLI: sf ideas --json
  • API: GET /api/public/ideas
  • MCP: get_trade_ideas
  • Web: simplefunctions.dev/ideas

Next steps

Regime

Labels that drive idea filtering.

Indicators

What’s in quantSignals.

Trade intents

How to act on an idea.